Talk:Slope of technology curve

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Text agreement  by Mike Treder, CRN 11:53, 22 Oct 2004 (CDT)

Selenite, great article and graphic! One request: now that Chris has replaced "self-replicating" with "autoproductive" in the text, can you make the same change in your graphic?

Disagree with autoproduction/nanofactories change  by 68.2.106.58 01:10, 25 Oct 2004 (CDT)

I'm not going to change it, but I rather disagree with Chris' change - assembler is a more general term than nanofactory. True, we've mostly discounted the possibility of using lots of little independent nanobots, which many associate for historical reasons with the term "assembler" - but this article appears to be more general than nanofactories.

I also dislike "autoproductive" - again it is too restrictive of method of replication for a broad focus article like this. Besides which I think the meaning of "self replication" is more obvious. Instead of making up new jargon (which puts distance between experts and lay people), how about simply using "self-copying"?

Link to learn about the Singularity  by ccanova 12:35, 25 May 2005 (CDT)

http://www.aleph.se/Trans/Global/Singularity/index.html

Timeline criticism

This timeline was used on Future Wiki page on nano and the following criticism was posted by Lion Kimbro to its Talk page:

The timeline on this page is, I think, rediculously optimistic. I don't see any argument or support on the linked page; It seems to be just raw guesswork.
If there were "simple nanotech products" to be released in 2008, you'd think we'd hear something about it by now.

See Talk:Nanotechnology for the rest of the comment. Danila 03:31, 21 June 2006 (CDT)



The timeline is only intended to be an illustration and is not a prediction in any way. --Selenite 14:20, 26 January 2008 (EST)

Agreement from Scenarios

The CRN scenario set seems to have sided with the "gentle curve" side of this argument.

"the powerful and transformative new manufacturing methods enabled by advanced nanotechnology are likely to be foreshadowed — and potentially delayed — by other, simpler, kinds of productive technologies." - Mike Treder

--Selenite 14:17, 26 January 2008 (EST)

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