Nano arms race

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Advanced nanotech weapons may lead to arms race.

Would a nano-based arms race be unstable?

There are several reasons to think it would be more unstable -- more likely to lead to accidental, unwanted war -- than the nuclear arms race.

  • More proliferation: smaller, more desirable technology
    • This implies instead of two major players, there could be a dozen
  • Faster development
  • Less barrier to use / more kinds of weapons
  • Less time to develop theories of stability

An issue that may go either way:

  • Uncertainty about what the other side has

(This makes it hard to be sure of victory, but may tempt false confidence or lead to panicked attempts at preemption.)

Could a nano-based arms race be prevented?

Would this require trust between all nano-enabled nations?

What could make a nation feel secure in a nano-filled world?

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