NUMBER

From Wise Nano

Number describes the number of distinct projects aimed at the same goal. Different numbers might create different advantages and disadvantages.

Single

No competition or cooperation can occur. A group developing molecular manufacturing capabilities without competitors might have less incentive to oppress other groups or countries. However, if they choose to do so, it might be hard to impossible for non-developed groups to prevent them from doing so. It all depends on the group developing MM. If it chooses to be "good", the benefits can be global and universal. If it chooses to be "bad", there is not much anyone else can do about it. With the technology being sufficiently advanced, even a combined nuclear strike can be averted.

Dual

Parallel development of MM by two groups might be equally unstable as Single development. Depending on the policy, once a nation feels it has taken the lead in the development, a competitive development might quickly evolve into war, with unforseeable consequences. An advantage of dual development is the mutual check. However, a real balance like in the Cold War seems less likely, since production cycles will be greatly reduced through rapid prototyping and exponential manufacturing, thus reducing the average half-life of weapons, spacecraft, surveillance gear, and defence measures.

Multiple

Multiple development disperses the power among several developers. It might be the most desirable approach, if realiable and peaceful cooperation can be achieved between the groups. If people are free to choose the legislation under which they live, this approach might ensure that the most people-friendly political system will prevail. The increasing number of MM-capable groups might ensure better mutual checks and balances. However, the number of developers increases, and so does the chance of at least one developer using the technology for measures threatening life or freedom of other people.