Development Mode:Multiple Covert Global Competitive Corporate Accelerated

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Development Mode: Multiple Covert Global Competitive Corporate Accelerated

<<<<< VERY PRELIMINARY >>>>>

This mode of development assumes that multiple corporations will see great value in developing molecular manufacturing capabilities, and will race to develop, patent, and control fundamental technologies for their own commercial use and profitable licensing.


Goals

  • Attain overwhelming technical advantages over competitors
  • Maintain covert nature to avoid aiding competitors
  • Rapidly exploit MNT's productive capabilities in highly profitable applications

Implications

  • Modest early funding of corporate/academic fundamental research
  • Race to create first profitable uses and create strong patent positions
  • Race starts once MNT is clearly imminent, based on academic research
  • At the point where corporate R&D begins, it is common for multiple parallel development efforts to achieve similar results very close in time.
  • Corporations will likely focus on achieving profitable applications as soon as possible. This may result in development of a technology that is significantly limited, but able to produce a small range of extremely high value products. E.g. a surface-processing approach might be developed that can only create a thin, nearly two dimensional layer on the surface of a substrate. Such a technology could produce electronic devices and limited sensors and mechanical devices, but would be difficult to extend to three dimensions.

Issues Military implications of MNT may cause government to intervene to impose secrecy on key technologies, preventing corporations from obtaining maximum advantage from development of MNT.

Corporations could either deal with the government in advance, gaining guarantees of rights to use the technology in limited but profitable ways; or develop the technologies as secretly as possible and as far as possible, and then make them public before the government can impose damaging secrecy requirements.

The former seems far more likely, but if a smaller corporation happens to make key breakthroughs, it might choose the latter path out of fear that the government will turn their work over to larger corporations that the government will consider more capable of exploiting the technology for the benefit of the government.

Due to the extreme secrecy, self-copying MNT is unlikely to escape to common use. However, the extreme value of the technology does make it a likely target for espionage - typically national government backed, but delivering stolen information to corporate competitors in the other nation.

Projects

  • <<<list??>>>
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